Monday, December 18, 2006

Copper To Come A Cropper

Or so says ABN Amro Holding NV metals analyst Nick Moore in London. Apparently the fundamentals of base metals are deteriorating as the economy looks to be slowing down and more supply comes on-line.

Read all about it in this Bloomberg Article

However, in the same article analysts are bullish on Gold and Soybeans:

SNIP - Next year's commodity winners may include soybeans, which are poised to jump to a 15-year high as U.S. farmers, the world's biggest producers of the oilseed, devote more land to corn.

Gold may extend its rally as the dollar weakens and slowing economic growth prompts investors to seek a haven for their cash. JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased its ``long-term'' price forecast for gold by 9.5 percent last week on expectations for ``robust'' demand.

``Gold's going to be the phenomenon of 2007,'' said Michael Metz, chief investment strategist at New York-based Oppenheimer & Co., which has about $10 billion in assets. ``If I had to choose one commodity, I'd stick with gold.''

Folks really are bullish on the gold story and the gold bugs really do put up a convincing case. It's almost so universal I'm tempted to invoke contrarian theory and fade it. Buuuuuut gold can run up awful fast if something happens... options don't look that cheap to me either so I'll be holding off from anything rash for now.

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